Scouting Report
Jori Lehtera holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Lehtera on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Suomela wins 46.1% vs left-shot opponents — Lehtera shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Suomela 48.5% vs Lehtera 50.7% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lehtera 56.7%
Defensive zone
Suomela 55.9%
Neutral zone
Lehtera 53.0%
Result
Antti Suomela favored at 51.7%
51.7%
48.3%
Suomela
Lehtera
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Suomela
Lehtera
Last 6: Suomela 3-3 Lehtera
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suomela
2
0
Suomela
Lehtera
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lehtera
1
3
Suomela
Lehtera
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Suomela
Lehtera
Edge
Even Strength
48.2% (338)
50.4% (2,714)
-2.2%
Power Play
60.0% (5)
55.8% (339)
+4.2%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (4)
41.3% (104)
-16.3%
On penalty kill, Lehtera has a +16.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lehtera shoots left. Suomela is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (204).
Suomela shoots left. Lehtera is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (2,033).
Home / Away
Suomela
Lehtera
Home
53.0% (183)
53.7% (1,668)
Away
42.7% (164)
47.4% (1,489)
By Period
Suomela
Lehtera
P1
50.5%
53.2%
P2
43.3%
50.6%
P3
51.4%
48.1%
Final 5 min
46.9%
48.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Suomela
58.0%▲
50.5%
48.1%
Lehtera
42.0%▼
56.5%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2018 | 3 | 16:47 | Defensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Oct 9, 2018 | 3 | 10:17 | Offensive | Antti Suomela |
| Oct 9, 2018 | 3 | 02:49 | Defensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Oct 9, 2018 | 3 | 02:46 | Offensive | Antti Suomela |
| Oct 9, 2018 | 2 | 03:40 | Defensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Oct 9, 2018 | 1 | 09:12 | Defensive | Antti Suomela |