Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Kopitar wins 57.6% vs left-shot opponents — Matthews shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 56.3% vs Matthews 58.8% (-2.9%)
Offensive zone
Kopitar 53.0%
Defensive zone
Matthews 59.0%
Neutral zone
Matthews 59.0%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 55.0%
45.0%
55.0%
Kopitar
Matthews
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Matthews
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (749)
59.8% (848)
-3.7%
Power Play
63.3% (215)
64.9% (37)
-1.6%
Penalty Kill
51.6% (155)
56.3% (87)
-4.7%
On penalty kill, Matthews has a +4.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Matthews shoots left. Kopitar is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (761).
Kopitar shoots left. Matthews is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (636).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Matthews
Home
57.3% (553)
60.0% (520)
Away
56.4% (566)
59.3% (452)
By Period
Kopitar
Matthews
P1
56.5%
60.2%
P2
58.0%
58.2%
P3
56.1%
60.4%
OT
57.9%
70.0%
Final 5 min
56.3%
57.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
72.0%▲
60.0%
56.8%
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
59.7%