Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.6% vs 53.9%). Look for Jenner on offensive-zone draws (59% H2H, 27 meetings). Kopitar wins 55.5% vs left-shot opponents — Jenner shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 54.5% vs Jenner 53.9% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Jenner leads 42-32 in 74 meetings
Offensive zone
Jenner 60.9%
Defensive zone
Jenner 66.9%
Neutral zone
Jenner 66.8%
Result
Boone Jenner favored at 64.7%
35.3%
64.7%
Kopitar
Jenner
Head-to-Head Record
32
-
42
(74 meetings)
32
42
Kopitar
Jenner
Last 10: Kopitar 6-4 Jenner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
11
16
Kopitar
Jenner
27 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
10
12
Kopitar
Jenner
22 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jenner
11
14
Kopitar
Jenner
25 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Jenner
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (16,761)
54.5% (6,228)
+0.1%
Power Play
59.2% (3,590)
55.8% (1,148)
+3.4%
Penalty Kill
48.4% (2,946)
48.4% (1,001)
+0.0%
On power play, Kopitar has a +3.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jenner shoots left. Kopitar is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (15,187).
Kopitar shoots left. Jenner is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (5,209).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Jenner
Home
55.3% (11,663)
54.5% (4,073)
Away
53.8% (11,682)
53.4% (4,304)
By Period
Kopitar
Jenner
P1
54.5%
53.6%
P2
54.9%
53.6%
P3
53.9%
54.5%
OT
59.3%
54.5%
Final 5 min
55.0%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
72.0%▲
60.0%
54.6%
Jenner
52.0%▲
48.5%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2026 | 3 | 18:10 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 9, 2026 | 3 | 01:10 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 9, 2026 | 2 | 18:23 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 9, 2026 | 2 | 09:38 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Dec 22, 2025 | 3 | 13:20 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 22, 2025 | 3 | 08:07 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Dec 22, 2025 | 3 | 06:27 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 22, 2025 | 3 | 00:40 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 22, 2025 | 2 | 01:17 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Dec 22, 2025 | 2 | 00:59 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 22, 2025 | 1 | 19:32 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Feb 20, 2024 | 3 | 14:37 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Feb 20, 2024 | 2 | 18:50 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Feb 20, 2024 | 2 | 18:39 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Dec 5, 2023 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 5, 2023 | 3 | 17:24 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Dec 5, 2023 | 3 | 15:32 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Dec 5, 2023 | 2 | 07:45 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 5, 2023 | 1 | 00:39 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 3 | 06:00 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |