Scouting Report
Anze Kopitar holds a +11.0% FO% edge overall. Kopitar wins 55.2% vs right-shot opponents — Bedard shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 56.3% vs Bedard 46.5% (+11.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bedard 53.6%
Defensive zone
Bedard 56.9%
Neutral zone
Bedard 56.2%
Result
Connor Bedard favored at 55.6%
44.4%
55.6%
Kopitar
Bedard
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Kopitar
Bedard
Last 6: Kopitar 3-3 Bedard
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bedard
0
2
Kopitar
Bedard
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kopitar
Bedard
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kopitar
2
0
Kopitar
Bedard
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Bedard
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (749)
44.2% (505)
+11.9%
Power Play
63.3% (215)
66.7% (36)
-3.4%
Penalty Kill
51.6% (155)
53.8% (13)
-2.2%
On even strength, Kopitar has a +11.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bedard shoots right. Kopitar is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (355).
Kopitar shoots left. Bedard is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (390).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Bedard
Home
57.3% (553)
50.7% (223)
Away
56.4% (566)
42.6% (331)
By Period
Kopitar
Bedard
P1
56.5%
40.2%
P2
58.0%
49.2%
P3
56.1%
47.2%
OT
57.9%
57.1%
Final 5 min
56.3%
45.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
72.0%▲
60.0%
56.8%
Bedard
44.0%▬
45.0%
45.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 2 | 10:39 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 1 | 15:44 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 3 | 14:59 | Offensive | Connor Bedard |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 3 | 01:05 | Defensive | Connor Bedard |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 3 | 19:08 | Offensive | Connor Bedard |