Scouting Report
Anze Kopitar holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Malkin on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Kopitar wins 54.6% vs left-shot opponents — Malkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 54.8% vs Malkin 48.7% (+6.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 83.5%
Defensive zone
Kopitar 55.7%
Neutral zone
Malkin 58.0%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 70.6%
29.4%
70.6%
Kopitar
Malkin
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Kopitar
Malkin
Last 5: Kopitar 2-3 Malkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
0
3
Kopitar
Malkin
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
1
0
Kopitar
Malkin
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kopitar
1
0
Kopitar
Malkin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Malkin
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (1,054)
47.9% (776)
+8.5%
Power Play
57.3% (293)
66.7% (24)
-9.4%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (213)
100.0% (1)
-54.5%
On penalty kill, Malkin has a +54.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Malkin shoots left. Kopitar is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,024).
Kopitar shoots left. Malkin is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (541).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Malkin
Home
56.1% (786)
49.6% (405)
Away
54.0% (774)
47.5% (396)
By Period
Kopitar
Malkin
P1
56.2%
49.6%
P2
55.4%
47.2%
P3
53.0%
48.5%
OT
70.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
56.1%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
54.0%▼
59.5%
55.1%
Malkin
48.0%▬
47.0%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2024 | 3 | 13:49 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 3 | 13:24 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 2 | 16:02 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 1 | 08:08 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 1 | 04:05 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |