Scouting Report
Anze Kopitar holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Kopitar on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 54.5% vs Arnott 50.3% (+4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kopitar 53.2%
Defensive zone
Kopitar 84.5%
Neutral zone
Kopitar 73.4%
Result
Anze Kopitar favored at 64.9%
64.9%
35.1%
Kopitar
Arnott
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Kopitar
Arnott
Last 8: Kopitar 5-3 Arnott
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Arnott
2
3
Kopitar
Arnott
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
3
0
Kopitar
Arnott
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Arnott
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (16,761)
49.7% (1,444)
+4.9%
Power Play
59.2% (3,590)
53.8% (182)
+5.4%
Penalty Kill
48.4% (2,946)
40.0% (15)
+8.4%
On penalty kill, Kopitar has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Arnott shoots right. Kopitar is 52.7% vs right-shot opponents (8,155).
Kopitar shoots left. Arnott is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,175).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Arnott
Home
55.3% (11,663)
52.1% (891)
Away
53.8% (11,682)
48.2% (772)
By Period
Kopitar
Arnott
P1
54.5%
46.1%
P2
54.9%
53.6%
P3
53.9%
50.1%
OT
59.3%
71.4%
Final 5 min
55.0%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
72.0%▲
60.0%
54.6%
Arnott
50.0%▬
50.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2012 | 2 | 16:40 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 22, 2012 | 2 | 12:59 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 22, 2012 | 2 | 09:38 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 22, 2012 | 1 | 12:24 | Offensive | Jason Arnott |
| Nov 22, 2011 | 2 | 01:43 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Oct 30, 2010 | 3 | 12:25 | Offensive | Jason Arnott |
| Oct 30, 2010 | 3 | 09:06 | Offensive | Jason Arnott |
| Oct 30, 2010 | 3 | 02:04 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |