Scouting Report
Anze Kopitar holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Kopitar on offensive-zone draws (89% H2H, 18 meetings). Kopitar wins 55.5% vs left-shot opponents — Larsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 54.5% vs Larsson 49.5% (+5.1%)
H2H factor
Kopitar leads 29-18 in 47 meetings
Offensive zone
Kopitar 97.0%
Defensive zone
Kopitar 74.1%
Neutral zone
Kopitar 88.2%
Result
Anze Kopitar favored at 86.5%
86.5%
13.5%
Kopitar
Larsson
Head-to-Head Record
29
-
18
(47 meetings)
29
18
Kopitar
Larsson
Last 10: Kopitar 6-4 Larsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
16
2
Kopitar
Larsson
18 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larsson
5
12
Kopitar
Larsson
17 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kopitar
8
4
Kopitar
Larsson
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Larsson
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (16,761)
50.5% (4,382)
+4.1%
Power Play
59.2% (3,590)
47.7% (153)
+11.5%
Penalty Kill
48.4% (2,946)
43.8% (714)
+4.6%
On power play, Kopitar has a +11.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larsson shoots left. Kopitar is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (15,187).
Kopitar shoots left. Larsson is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (3,402).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Larsson
Home
55.3% (11,663)
51.2% (2,493)
Away
53.8% (11,682)
48.0% (2,756)
By Period
Kopitar
Larsson
P1
54.5%
51.6%
P2
54.9%
49.7%
P3
53.9%
47.2%
OT
59.3%
52.3%
Final 5 min
55.0%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
72.0%▲
60.0%
54.6%
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 5, 2021 | 2 | 06:33 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| May 3, 2021 | 3 | 16:51 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 2 | 12:42 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 2 | 00:54 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 2 | 00:36 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 1 | 16:40 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Apr 7, 2021 | 2 | 11:52 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Apr 7, 2021 | 1 | 09:30 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Apr 7, 2021 | 1 | 03:22 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Apr 5, 2021 | 3 | 16:46 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Apr 5, 2021 | 3 | 05:36 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Apr 5, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Apr 5, 2021 | 1 | 15:56 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Apr 5, 2021 | 1 | 15:49 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 3, 2021 | 3 | 14:23 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 3, 2021 | 3 | 14:12 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 3, 2021 | 3 | 14:03 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 3, 2021 | 3 | 11:31 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 3, 2021 | 2 | 15:49 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 3, 2021 | 2 | 10:25 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |