Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Kopitar on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Kopitar wins 57.6% vs left-shot opponents — Toews shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 56.3% vs Toews 60.4% (-4.8%)
H2H factor
Kopitar leads 9-6 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Toews 71.8%
Defensive zone
Toews 55.8%
Neutral zone
Toews 76.5%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 67.0%
33.0%
67.0%
Kopitar
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
6
(15 meetings)
9
6
Kopitar
Toews
Last 10: Kopitar 6-4 Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
1
3
Kopitar
Toews
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
5
1
Kopitar
Toews
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kopitar
3
2
Kopitar
Toews
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (749)
62.6% (728)
-6.5%
Power Play
63.3% (215)
59.4% (143)
+3.9%
Penalty Kill
51.6% (155)
46.9% (32)
+4.7%
On even strength, Toews has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Kopitar is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (761).
Kopitar shoots left. Toews is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (599).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Toews
Home
57.3% (553)
61.1% (455)
Away
56.4% (566)
62.1% (448)
By Period
Kopitar
Toews
P1
56.5%
59.7%
P2
58.0%
66.7%
P3
56.1%
58.4%
OT
57.9%
80.0%
Final 5 min
56.3%
58.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
72.0%▲
60.0%
56.8%
Toews
62.0%▼
63.5%
61.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2025 | 3 | 18:55 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 3 | 18:14 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 3 | 17:27 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 3 | 17:23 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 3 | 15:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 3 | 12:10 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 3 | 06:13 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 1 | 06:26 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 12:14 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 12:30 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 00:08 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 14:18 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 11:44 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |