Scouting Report
Anze Kopitar holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Look for McTavish on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Kopitar wins 57.6% vs left-shot opponents — McTavish shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 56.3% vs McTavish 49.1% (+7.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McTavish 55.7%
Defensive zone
Kopitar 61.3%
Neutral zone
McTavish 56.6%
Result
Anze Kopitar favored at 54.9%
54.9%
45.1%
Kopitar
McTavish
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Kopitar
McTavish
Last 8: Kopitar 4-4 McTavish
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McTavish
1
2
Kopitar
McTavish
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
3
2
Kopitar
McTavish
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
McTavish
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (749)
47.6% (618)
+8.5%
Power Play
63.3% (215)
58.3% (103)
+5.0%
Penalty Kill
51.6% (155)
33.3% (6)
+18.3%
On penalty kill, Kopitar has a +18.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McTavish shoots left. Kopitar is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (761).
Kopitar shoots left. McTavish is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (471).
Home / Away
Kopitar
McTavish
Home
57.3% (553)
52.2% (391)
Away
56.4% (566)
45.2% (336)
By Period
Kopitar
McTavish
P1
56.5%
50.2%
P2
58.0%
47.7%
P3
56.1%
49.2%
OT
57.9%
40.0%
Final 5 min
56.3%
45.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
72.0%▲
60.0%
56.8%
McTavish
48.0%▲
45.5%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2025 | 1 | 19:31 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 1 | 06:14 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 1 | 00:32 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 1 | 00:25 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3 | 17:56 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3 | 12:12 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 15:04 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 1 | 07:57 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |