Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.6% vs 54.2%). Look for Kopitar on defensive-zone draws (66% H2H, 44 meetings). Kopitar wins 55.5% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 54.5% vs Duchene 54.1% (+0.4%)
H2H factor
Kopitar leads 84-56 in 140 meetings
Offensive zone
Kopitar 62.7%
Defensive zone
Kopitar 74.8%
Neutral zone
Kopitar 68.0%
Result
Anze Kopitar favored at 68.8%
68.8%
31.2%
Kopitar
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
84
-
56
(140 meetings)
84
56
Kopitar
Duchene
Last 10: Kopitar 8-2 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
21
16
Kopitar
Duchene
37 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
29
15
Kopitar
Duchene
44 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kopitar
34
25
Kopitar
Duchene
59 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (16,761)
53.9% (10,438)
+0.7%
Power Play
59.2% (3,590)
57.0% (1,677)
+2.2%
Penalty Kill
48.4% (2,946)
49.1% (468)
-0.7%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Kopitar is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (15,187).
Kopitar shoots left. Duchene is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (8,089).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Duchene
Home
55.3% (11,663)
55.6% (6,430)
Away
53.8% (11,682)
52.7% (6,177)
By Period
Kopitar
Duchene
P1
54.5%
54.4%
P2
54.9%
54.5%
P3
53.9%
53.4%
OT
59.3%
56.3%
Final 5 min
55.0%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
72.0%▲
60.0%
54.6%
Duchene
56.0%▲
51.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 15, 2025 | 3 | 19:16 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 15, 2025 | 1 | 17:37 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Feb 28, 2025 | 3 | 05:29 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Feb 28, 2025 | 3 | 01:39 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Feb 28, 2025 | 3 | 01:19 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Feb 28, 2025 | 2 | 15:31 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Feb 28, 2025 | 2 | 11:37 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Feb 7, 2025 | 3 | 08:54 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 4, 2024 | 3 | 11:27 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 4, 2024 | 2 | 15:38 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 4, 2024 | 2 | 15:35 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 2 | 14:13 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 2 | 00:39 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 1 | 13:53 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 2 | 17:09 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 2 | 12:17 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 2 | 02:19 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 1 | 19:46 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 1 | 07:07 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 16, 2024 | 2 | 19:02 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |