Scouting Report
Anze Kopitar holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Kopitar on offensive-zone draws (91% H2H, 11 meetings). Kopitar wins 57.6% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 56.3% vs Backlund 49.8% (+7.0%)
H2H factor
Kopitar leads 16-11 in 27 meetings
Offensive zone
Kopitar 94.3%
Defensive zone
Kopitar 54.8%
Neutral zone
Kopitar 76.4%
Result
Anze Kopitar favored at 74.9%
74.9%
25.1%
Kopitar
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
11
(27 meetings)
16
11
Kopitar
Backlund
Last 10: Kopitar 5-5 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
10
1
Kopitar
Backlund
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
3
8
Kopitar
Backlund
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kopitar
3
2
Kopitar
Backlund
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (749)
50.5% (944)
+5.6%
Power Play
63.3% (215)
51.5% (66)
+11.8%
Penalty Kill
51.6% (155)
47.1% (297)
+4.5%
On power play, Kopitar has a +11.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Kopitar is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (761).
Kopitar shoots left. Backlund is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (938).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Backlund
Home
57.3% (553)
48.1% (636)
Away
56.4% (566)
51.4% (671)
By Period
Kopitar
Backlund
P1
56.5%
45.4%
P2
58.0%
54.1%
P3
56.1%
49.2%
OT
57.9%
55.6%
Final 5 min
56.3%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
72.0%▲
60.0%
56.8%
Backlund
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2026 | 3 | 17:18 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 3 | 06:07 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 3 | 02:20 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 3 | 00:17 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 2 | 18:45 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 2 | 16:18 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 2 | 05:30 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 2 | 04:00 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 1 | 17:13 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 1 | 16:50 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 1 | 10:08 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 3 | 10:03 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 3 | 00:24 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 2 | 14:27 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 2 | 11:03 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 2 | 03:11 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 1 | 17:58 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 1 | 17:55 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 1 | 06:14 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 2 | 17:18 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |