Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (56.8% vs 57.0%). Look for Kopitar on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Kopitar wins 57.6% vs left-shot opponents — Frost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 56.3% vs Frost 56.3% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Frost 66.9%
Defensive zone
Kopitar 69.5%
Neutral zone
Frost 50.5%
Result
Anze Kopitar favored at 57.4%
57.4%
42.6%
Kopitar
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Kopitar
Frost
Last 9: Kopitar 6-3 Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
0
3
Kopitar
Frost
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
6
0
Kopitar
Frost
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (749)
55.8% (745)
+0.3%
Power Play
63.3% (215)
60.5% (172)
+2.8%
Penalty Kill
51.6% (155)
88.9% (9)
-37.3%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +37.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Kopitar is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (761).
Kopitar shoots left. Frost is 58.0% vs left-shot opponents (636).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Frost
Home
57.3% (553)
57.3% (497)
Away
56.4% (566)
56.6% (429)
By Period
Kopitar
Frost
P1
56.5%
60.1%
P2
58.0%
56.0%
P3
56.1%
54.7%
OT
57.9%
63.6%
Final 5 min
56.3%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
72.0%▲
60.0%
56.8%
Frost
68.0%▲
62.0%
57.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2026 | OT | 03:40 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 3 | 12:47 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 3 | 12:42 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 2 | 11:27 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 2 | 06:49 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 3 | 11:23 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 2 | 09:41 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 2 | 00:52 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 1 | 10:51 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |