Scouting Report
Anze Kopitar holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Bjugstad on defensive-zone draws (62% H2H, 37 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 54.5% vs Bjugstad 49.0% (+5.6%)
H2H factor
Bjugstad leads 60-50 in 110 meetings
Offensive zone
Bjugstad 74.7%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 77.5%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 74.1%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 75.5%
24.5%
75.5%
Kopitar
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
50
-
60
(110 meetings)
50
60
Kopitar
Bjugstad
Last 10: Kopitar 4-6 Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
25
23
Kopitar
Bjugstad
48 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
14
23
Kopitar
Bjugstad
37 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
11
14
Kopitar
Bjugstad
25 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (16,761)
48.6% (6,646)
+6.0%
Power Play
59.2% (3,590)
55.2% (829)
+4.0%
Penalty Kill
48.4% (2,946)
44.3% (614)
+4.1%
On even strength, Kopitar has a +6.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Kopitar is 52.7% vs right-shot opponents (8,155).
Kopitar shoots left. Bjugstad is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (5,753).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Bjugstad
Home
55.3% (11,663)
49.8% (4,023)
Away
53.8% (11,682)
48.1% (4,066)
By Period
Kopitar
Bjugstad
P1
54.5%
48.9%
P2
54.9%
49.1%
P3
53.9%
48.5%
OT
59.3%
61.3%
Final 5 min
55.0%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
72.0%▲
60.0%
54.6%
Bjugstad
42.0%▼
48.0%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | 2 | 10:20 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 3 | 06:10 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 2 | 13:54 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 2 | 04:38 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 20, 2023 | 3 | 07:17 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 20, 2023 | 3 | 05:24 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 20, 2023 | 3 | 03:09 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 20, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 20, 2023 | 2 | 00:56 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 20, 2023 | 2 | 00:49 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 20, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 20, 2023 | 1 | 18:54 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 20, 2023 | 1 | 12:02 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 20, 2023 | 1 | 10:58 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 20, 2023 | 1 | 07:47 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 20, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Oct 27, 2023 | 3 | 18:12 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Oct 27, 2023 | 3 | 03:20 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Oct 27, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Oct 27, 2023 | 2 | 19:47 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |