Scouting Report
Anze Kopitar holds a +10.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Kapanen on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Kopitar wins 55.2% vs right-shot opponents — Kapanen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 56.3% vs Kapanen 47.1% (+10.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kapanen 86.6%
Defensive zone
Kapanen 86.7%
Neutral zone
Kapanen 80.4%
Result
Oliver Kapanen favored at 82.9%
17.1%
82.9%
Kopitar
Kapanen
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Kopitar
Kapanen
Last 5: Kopitar 1-4 Kapanen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kapanen
0
1
Kopitar
Kapanen
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kapanen
0
1
Kopitar
Kapanen
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kapanen
1
2
Kopitar
Kapanen
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Kapanen
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (749)
46.5% (527)
+9.6%
Power Play
63.3% (215)
54.8% (42)
+8.5%
Penalty Kill
51.6% (155)
39.5% (38)
+12.1%
On penalty kill, Kopitar has a +12.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kapanen shoots right. Kopitar is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (355).
Kopitar shoots left. Kapanen is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (449).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Kapanen
Home
57.3% (553)
47.0% (315)
Away
56.4% (566)
46.2% (292)
By Period
Kopitar
Kapanen
P1
56.5%
41.6%
P2
58.0%
50.7%
P3
56.1%
47.6%
OT
57.9%
25.0%
Final 5 min
56.3%
44.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
72.0%▲
60.0%
56.8%
Kapanen
32.0%▼
47.0%
46.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | 2 | 05:56 | Offensive | Oliver Kapanen |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 3 | 11:15 | Defensive | Oliver Kapanen |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 3 | 11:08 | Neutral | Oliver Kapanen |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 3 | 00:48 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 1 | 04:23 | Neutral | Oliver Kapanen |