Scouting Report
Anze Kopitar holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Kapanen on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 54.5% vs Kapanen 46.8% (+8.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kapanen 81.9%
Defensive zone
Kapanen 86.2%
Neutral zone
Kapanen 83.8%
Result
Oliver Kapanen favored at 83.9%
16.1%
83.9%
Kopitar
Kapanen
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Kopitar
Kapanen
Last 5: Kopitar 1-4 Kapanen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kapanen
0
1
Kopitar
Kapanen
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kapanen
0
1
Kopitar
Kapanen
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kapanen
1
2
Kopitar
Kapanen
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Kapanen
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (16,761)
46.3% (572)
+8.3%
Power Play
59.2% (3,590)
50.9% (53)
+8.3%
Penalty Kill
48.4% (2,946)
39.5% (38)
+8.9%
On penalty kill, Kopitar has a +8.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kapanen shoots right. Kopitar is 52.7% vs right-shot opponents (8,155).
Kopitar shoots left. Kapanen is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (493).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Kapanen
Home
55.3% (11,663)
46.3% (348)
Away
53.8% (11,682)
46.3% (315)
By Period
Kopitar
Kapanen
P1
54.5%
41.7%
P2
54.9%
49.6%
P3
53.9%
47.5%
OT
59.3%
25.0%
Final 5 min
55.0%
44.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
72.0%▲
60.0%
54.6%
Kapanen
32.0%▼
47.0%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | 2 | 05:56 | Offensive | Oliver Kapanen |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 3 | 11:15 | Defensive | Oliver Kapanen |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 3 | 11:08 | Neutral | Oliver Kapanen |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 3 | 00:48 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 1 | 04:23 | Neutral | Oliver Kapanen |