Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on offensive-zone draws (63% H2H, 132 meetings). Kopitar wins 55.5% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 54.5% vs O'Reilly 56.0% (-1.4%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 221-152 in 373 meetings
Offensive zone
Kopitar 52.5%
Defensive zone
Kopitar 51.8%
Neutral zone
Kopitar 53.0%
Result
Anze Kopitar favored at 52.4%
52.4%
47.6%
Kopitar
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
152
-
221
(373 meetings)
152
221
Kopitar
O'Reilly
Last 10: Kopitar 2-8 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
49
83
Kopitar
O'Reilly
132 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
47
69
Kopitar
O'Reilly
116 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
56
69
Kopitar
O'Reilly
125 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (16,761)
56.2% (15,290)
-1.6%
Power Play
59.2% (3,590)
58.7% (3,457)
+0.5%
Penalty Kill
48.4% (2,946)
51.4% (2,826)
-3.0%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +3.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Kopitar is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (15,187).
Kopitar shoots left. O'Reilly is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (13,901).
Home / Away
Kopitar
O'Reilly
Home
55.3% (11,663)
57.6% (10,799)
Away
53.8% (11,682)
54.4% (10,807)
By Period
Kopitar
O'Reilly
P1
54.5%
55.6%
P2
54.9%
57.0%
P3
53.9%
55.0%
OT
59.3%
62.2%
Final 5 min
55.0%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
72.0%▲
60.0%
54.6%
O'Reilly
54.0%▬
55.0%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2025 | OT | 04:24 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 25, 2025 | OT | 03:30 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Oct 25, 2025 | OT | 03:05 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 25, 2025 | OT | 02:52 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 16:46 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 07:14 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 07:09 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 2 | 00:17 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 13:48 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 09:30 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 00:55 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 15, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 15, 2025 | 2 | 18:54 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 21, 2024 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 3 | 06:03 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 2 | 00:12 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 1 | 00:19 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |