Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.1% vs 54.9%). Look for Monahan on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Kopitar wins 54.6% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 54.8% vs Monahan 54.5% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Monahan leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Monahan 57.8%
Defensive zone
Monahan 57.4%
Neutral zone
Monahan 55.2%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 57.7%
42.3%
57.7%
Kopitar
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Kopitar
Monahan
Last 10: Kopitar 4-6 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
2
5
Kopitar
Monahan
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
2
1
Kopitar
Monahan
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (1,054)
57.1% (871)
-0.7%
Power Play
57.3% (293)
53.1% (262)
+4.2%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (213)
44.6% (139)
+0.9%
On power play, Kopitar has a +4.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Kopitar is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,024).
Kopitar shoots left. Monahan is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (753).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Monahan
Home
56.1% (786)
55.3% (644)
Away
54.0% (774)
54.5% (628)
By Period
Kopitar
Monahan
P1
56.2%
53.9%
P2
55.4%
55.3%
P3
53.0%
54.4%
OT
70.0%
76.5%
Final 5 min
56.1%
55.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
72.0%▲
60.0%
55.1%
Monahan
40.0%▼
51.0%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2024 | 3 | 19:59 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Apr 1, 2024 | 3 | 11:03 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Apr 1, 2024 | 2 | 11:02 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 3 | 18:03 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 3 | 01:07 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 2 | 06:53 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 1 | 00:41 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 2 | 14:12 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 2 | 02:23 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 1 | 15:57 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |