Scouting Report
Anze Kopitar holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Stamkos on offensive-zone draws (56% H2H, 52 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 54.5% vs Stamkos 51.1% (+3.5%)
H2H factor
Stamkos leads 73-64 in 137 meetings
Offensive zone
Stamkos 76.4%
Defensive zone
Stamkos 61.4%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 67.3%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 68.7%
31.3%
68.7%
Kopitar
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
64
-
73
(137 meetings)
64
73
Kopitar
Stamkos
Last 10: Kopitar 3-7 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
23
29
Kopitar
Stamkos
52 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
26
23
Kopitar
Stamkos
49 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stamkos
15
21
Kopitar
Stamkos
36 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (16,761)
50.5% (9,825)
+4.1%
Power Play
59.2% (3,590)
55.2% (1,729)
+4.0%
Penalty Kill
48.4% (2,946)
49.6% (827)
-1.2%
On even strength, Kopitar has a +4.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Kopitar is 52.7% vs right-shot opponents (8,155).
Kopitar shoots left. Stamkos is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (8,806).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Stamkos
Home
55.3% (11,663)
52.8% (6,270)
Away
53.8% (11,682)
49.3% (6,137)
By Period
Kopitar
Stamkos
P1
54.5%
49.2%
P2
54.9%
52.7%
P3
53.9%
50.9%
OT
59.3%
54.3%
Final 5 min
55.0%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
72.0%▲
60.0%
54.6%
Stamkos
66.0%▲
56.5%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2025 | 3 | 19:47 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 3 | 18:50 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 3 | 09:44 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 2 | 05:44 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 1 | 00:44 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 4, 2024 | 3 | 16:06 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 4, 2024 | 2 | 08:27 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 23, 2024 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 3 | 14:58 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 1 | 00:13 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 3 | 17:55 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 3 | 17:49 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 3 | 15:49 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 3 | 15:39 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 3 | 14:00 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 2 | 13:10 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 2 | 09:39 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 1 | 06:56 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 3 | 13:53 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |