Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Hertl on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 9 meetings). Kopitar wins 57.6% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 56.3% vs Hertl 57.5% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
Hertl leads 12-11 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Hertl 65.6%
Defensive zone
Kopitar 68.2%
Neutral zone
Hertl 54.5%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 51.9%
48.1%
51.9%
Kopitar
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
12
(23 meetings)
11
12
Kopitar
Hertl
Last 10: Kopitar 6-4 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
3
6
Kopitar
Hertl
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
5
2
Kopitar
Hertl
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hertl
3
4
Kopitar
Hertl
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (749)
58.7% (858)
-2.6%
Power Play
63.3% (215)
55.8% (285)
+7.5%
Penalty Kill
51.6% (155)
62.9% (35)
-11.3%
On penalty kill, Hertl has a +11.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Kopitar is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (761).
Kopitar shoots left. Hertl is 57.1% vs left-shot opponents (736).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Hertl
Home
57.3% (553)
60.1% (599)
Away
56.4% (566)
56.1% (579)
By Period
Kopitar
Hertl
P1
56.5%
52.4%
P2
58.0%
63.9%
P3
56.1%
58.5%
OT
57.9%
33.3%
Final 5 min
56.3%
59.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
72.0%▲
60.0%
56.8%
Hertl
66.0%▲
61.0%
58.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2026 | 3 | 18:54 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 3 | 15:10 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 3 | 08:07 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 2 | 18:17 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 2 | 15:32 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 2 | 09:36 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 2 | 09:25 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 2 | 00:07 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 1 | 10:04 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 1 | 09:27 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 3 | 16:18 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 3 | 13:09 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 2 | 18:48 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 1 | 18:18 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 1 | 13:15 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 8, 2025 | 2 | 18:07 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 8, 2025 | 2 | 15:00 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |