Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.6% vs 53.7%). Look for Kopitar on offensive-zone draws (64% H2H, 14 meetings). Kopitar wins 55.5% vs left-shot opponents — Nosek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 54.5% vs Nosek 53.6% (+0.9%)
H2H factor
Kopitar leads 25-18 in 43 meetings
Offensive zone
Kopitar 77.1%
Defensive zone
Nosek 54.9%
Neutral zone
Kopitar 60.7%
Result
Anze Kopitar favored at 59.5%
59.5%
40.5%
Kopitar
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
25
-
18
(43 meetings)
25
18
Kopitar
Nosek
Last 10: Kopitar 6-4 Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
9
5
Kopitar
Nosek
14 total
Defensive Zone
Even
9
9
Kopitar
Nosek
18 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kopitar
7
4
Kopitar
Nosek
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (16,761)
54.9% (2,710)
-0.3%
Power Play
59.2% (3,590)
45.8% (48)
+13.4%
Penalty Kill
48.4% (2,946)
47.2% (428)
+1.2%
On power play, Kopitar has a +13.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Kopitar is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (15,187).
Kopitar shoots left. Nosek is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,959).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Nosek
Home
55.3% (11,663)
52.8% (1,656)
Away
53.8% (11,682)
54.7% (1,530)
By Period
Kopitar
Nosek
P1
54.5%
52.2%
P2
54.9%
54.1%
P3
53.9%
54.7%
OT
59.3%
75.0%
Final 5 min
55.0%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
72.0%▲
60.0%
54.6%
Nosek
56.0%▲
50.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2025 | 2 | 17:55 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Jan 22, 2025 | 2 | 07:27 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 3, 2024 | 3 | 02:40 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 3, 2024 | 2 | 15:51 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 2 | 13:21 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 1 | 05:07 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 7, 2022 | 2 | 03:16 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 7, 2022 | 1 | 15:11 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Feb 28, 2022 | 3 | 06:00 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Feb 28, 2022 | 2 | 14:21 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Feb 28, 2022 | 2 | 01:39 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Feb 28, 2022 | 2 | 01:33 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Feb 28, 2022 | 1 | 15:12 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Apr 14, 2021 | 3 | 14:59 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Apr 14, 2021 | 2 | 17:25 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Apr 12, 2021 | 3 | 13:33 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Apr 12, 2021 | 3 | 00:37 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 31, 2021 | 3 | 14:39 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 31, 2021 | 3 | 13:19 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 31, 2021 | 3 | 06:23 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |