Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Kopitar on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Kopitar wins 56.0% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 54.8% vs Seguin 55.4% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kopitar 56.1%
Defensive zone
Seguin 51.5%
Neutral zone
Seguin 50.6%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 51.5%
48.5%
51.5%
Kopitar
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Kopitar
Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
2
1
Kopitar
Seguin
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (1,054)
56.9% (478)
-0.5%
Power Play
57.3% (293)
57.4% (54)
-0.1%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (213)
51.3% (76)
-5.8%
On penalty kill, Seguin has a +5.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Kopitar is 56.0% vs right-shot opponents (536).
Kopitar shoots left. Seguin is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (473).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Seguin
Home
56.1% (786)
57.4% (317)
Away
54.0% (774)
55.0% (291)
By Period
Kopitar
Seguin
P1
56.2%
50.3%
P2
55.4%
60.4%
P3
53.0%
58.0%
OT
70.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
56.1%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
54.0%▼
59.5%
55.1%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
56.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2024 | 2 | 18:53 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 16, 2024 | 1 | 10:38 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Jan 16, 2024 | 1 | 09:34 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |