Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (56.8% vs 56.9%). Look for Kopitar on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Kopitar wins 55.2% vs right-shot opponents — Trocheck shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 56.3% vs Trocheck 56.2% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kopitar 55.0%
Defensive zone
Trocheck 52.0%
Neutral zone
Kopitar 50.4%
Result
Anze Kopitar favored at 53.2%
53.2%
46.8%
Kopitar
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Kopitar
Trocheck
Last 5: Kopitar 3-2 Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
2
1
Kopitar
Trocheck
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Kopitar
Trocheck
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (749)
58.0% (666)
-1.9%
Power Play
63.3% (215)
64.8% (165)
-1.5%
Penalty Kill
51.6% (155)
43.4% (152)
+8.2%
On penalty kill, Kopitar has a +8.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Kopitar is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (355).
Kopitar shoots left. Trocheck is 57.5% vs left-shot opponents (661).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Trocheck
Home
57.3% (553)
55.3% (436)
Away
56.4% (566)
58.1% (547)
By Period
Kopitar
Trocheck
P1
56.5%
56.4%
P2
58.0%
58.7%
P3
56.1%
55.5%
OT
57.9%
57.1%
Final 5 min
56.3%
55.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
72.0%▲
60.0%
56.8%
Trocheck
62.0%▲
55.5%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2026 | 3 | 01:15 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Mar 16, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 16, 2026 | 2 | 09:13 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 16, 2026 | 2 | 07:06 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 16, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |