Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (56.8% vs 57.6%). Kopitar wins 57.6% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 56.3% vs Karlsson 54.7% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Karlsson 63.1%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 70.8%
Neutral zone
Karlsson 64.9%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 65.7%
34.3%
65.7%
Kopitar
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
Kopitar
Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
2
Kopitar
Karlsson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
1
Kopitar
Karlsson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (749)
58.5% (135)
-2.4%
Power Play
63.3% (215)
80.0% (5)
-16.7%
Penalty Kill
51.6% (155)
44.4% (18)
+7.2%
On power play, Karlsson has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Kopitar is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (761).
Kopitar shoots left. Karlsson is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (120).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Karlsson
Home
57.3% (553)
63.7% (91)
Away
56.4% (566)
49.3% (67)
By Period
Kopitar
Karlsson
P1
56.5%
54.4%
P2
58.0%
66.7%
P3
56.1%
51.9%
OT
57.9%
100.0%
Final 5 min
56.3%
54.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
72.0%▲
60.0%
56.8%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
57.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8, 2025 | OT | 04:14 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Oct 8, 2025 | 1 | 13:29 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Oct 8, 2025 | 1 | 00:45 | Defensive | William Karlsson |