Scouting Report
Anze Kopitar holds a +9.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Johnston on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Kopitar wins 55.2% vs right-shot opponents — Johnston shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 56.3% vs Johnston 48.0% (+9.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johnston 54.1%
Defensive zone
Johnston 56.0%
Neutral zone
Johnston 57.5%
Result
Wyatt Johnston favored at 55.6%
44.4%
55.6%
Kopitar
Johnston
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Kopitar
Johnston
Last 6: Kopitar 3-3 Johnston
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
2
0
Kopitar
Johnston
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johnston
1
2
Kopitar
Johnston
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johnston
0
1
Kopitar
Johnston
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Johnston
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (749)
47.3% (666)
+8.8%
Power Play
63.3% (215)
50.7% (69)
+12.6%
Penalty Kill
51.6% (155)
51.4% (35)
+0.2%
On power play, Kopitar has a +12.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnston shoots right. Kopitar is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (355).
Kopitar shoots left. Johnston is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (567).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Johnston
Home
57.3% (553)
47.5% (364)
Away
56.4% (566)
48.0% (406)
By Period
Kopitar
Johnston
P1
56.5%
49.4%
P2
58.0%
46.9%
P3
56.1%
47.1%
OT
57.9%
47.1%
Final 5 min
56.3%
46.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
72.0%▲
60.0%
56.8%
Johnston
40.0%▼
49.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 15, 2025 | 3 | 16:11 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |
| Dec 15, 2025 | 3 | 13:05 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 15, 2025 | 3 | 10:52 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Dec 15, 2025 | 3 | 10:47 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 15, 2025 | 3 | 10:38 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Dec 15, 2025 | 2 | 17:08 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |