Scouting Report
Anze Kopitar holds a +11.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Kopitar on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Kopitar wins 57.6% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 56.3% vs Gourde 46.0% (+11.3%)
H2H factor
Kopitar leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Kopitar 96.9%
Defensive zone
Kopitar 72.3%
Neutral zone
Kopitar 81.6%
Result
Anze Kopitar favored at 79.3%
79.3%
20.7%
Kopitar
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
3
(11 meetings)
8
3
Kopitar
Gourde
Last 10: Kopitar 8-2 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
2
Kopitar
Gourde
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
6
0
Kopitar
Gourde
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kopitar
2
1
Kopitar
Gourde
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (749)
47.2% (687)
+8.9%
Power Play
63.3% (215)
45.0% (20)
+18.3%
Penalty Kill
51.6% (155)
33.0% (88)
+18.6%
On penalty kill, Kopitar has a +18.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Kopitar is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (761).
Kopitar shoots left. Gourde is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (522).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Gourde
Home
57.3% (553)
44.4% (356)
Away
56.4% (566)
46.5% (439)
By Period
Kopitar
Gourde
P1
56.5%
42.2%
P2
58.0%
50.0%
P3
56.1%
44.5%
OT
57.9%
50.0%
Final 5 min
56.3%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
72.0%▲
60.0%
56.8%
Gourde
48.0%▲
46.0%
45.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 2026 | 2 | 10:05 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 3 | 01:13 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 3 | 00:45 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 2 | 15:21 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 2 | 15:15 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 1 | 17:11 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 1 | 13:12 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 1 | 11:27 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 1 | 04:04 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |