Scouting Report
Anze Kopitar holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Kopitar on defensive-zone draws (74% H2H, 19 meetings). Kopitar wins 55.5% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 54.5% vs Gourde 48.2% (+6.4%)
H2H factor
Kopitar leads 26-14 in 40 meetings
Offensive zone
Kopitar 97.8%
Defensive zone
Kopitar 91.2%
Neutral zone
Kopitar 93.6%
Result
Anze Kopitar favored at 93.3%
93.3%
6.7%
Kopitar
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
26
-
14
(40 meetings)
26
14
Kopitar
Gourde
Last 10: Kopitar 8-2 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
4
4
Kopitar
Gourde
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
14
5
Kopitar
Gourde
19 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kopitar
8
5
Kopitar
Gourde
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (16,761)
48.4% (4,987)
+6.2%
Power Play
59.2% (3,590)
57.4% (376)
+1.8%
Penalty Kill
48.4% (2,946)
40.0% (555)
+8.4%
On penalty kill, Kopitar has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Kopitar is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (15,187).
Kopitar shoots left. Gourde is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,967).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Gourde
Home
55.3% (11,663)
49.3% (2,949)
Away
53.8% (11,682)
47.2% (2,969)
By Period
Kopitar
Gourde
P1
54.5%
49.8%
P2
54.9%
47.5%
P3
53.9%
47.5%
OT
59.3%
37.0%
Final 5 min
55.0%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
72.0%▲
60.0%
54.6%
Gourde
48.0%▲
46.0%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 2026 | 2 | 10:05 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 3 | 01:13 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 3 | 00:45 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 2 | 15:21 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 2 | 15:15 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 1 | 17:11 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 1 | 13:12 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 1 | 11:27 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 1 | 04:04 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 1 | 13:57 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Apr 3, 2024 | 3 | 00:59 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Apr 3, 2024 | 2 | 18:04 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Apr 3, 2024 | 2 | 17:51 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 20, 2023 | 2 | 11:03 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 20, 2023 | 2 | 10:57 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 3 | 10:32 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 2 | 16:54 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 29, 2022 | 2 | 19:38 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |