Scouting Report
Arttu Hyry holds a +15.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Cates on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Hyry wins 54.9% vs left-shot opponents — Cates shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hyry 55.3% vs Cates 43.2% (+15.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cates 57.6%
Defensive zone
Hyry 51.2%
Neutral zone
Cates 52.4%
Result
Noah Cates favored at 53.1%
46.9%
53.1%
Hyry
Cates
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Hyry
Cates
Last 7: Hyry 3-4 Cates
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cates
0
3
Hyry
Cates
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hyry
3
0
Hyry
Cates
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cates
0
1
Hyry
Cates
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hyry
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
63.2% (125)
44.1% (2,786)
+19.1%
Penalty Kill
40.6% (32)
34.9% (373)
+5.7%
On even strength, Hyry has a +19.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Hyry is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (122).
Hyry shoots right. Cates is 45.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,103).
Home / Away
Hyry
Cates
Home
56.7% (90)
43.9% (1,708)
Away
61.2% (67)
42.2% (1,705)
By Period
Hyry
Cates
P1
59.6%
44.5%
P2
58.2%
43.7%
P3
58.2%
41.2%
Final 5 min
66.7%
41.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hyry
56.0%▼
58.6%
58.6%
Cates
50.0%▲
45.5%
43.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2026 | 3 | 14:08 | Defensive | Arttu Hyry |
| Mar 29, 2026 | 3 | 06:55 | Offensive | Noah Cates |
| Mar 29, 2026 | 3 | 06:51 | Offensive | Noah Cates |
| Mar 29, 2026 | 2 | 17:53 | Neutral | Noah Cates |
| Mar 29, 2026 | 2 | 16:27 | Defensive | Arttu Hyry |
| Mar 29, 2026 | 2 | 08:00 | Offensive | Noah Cates |
| Mar 29, 2026 | 1 | 03:34 | Defensive | Arttu Hyry |