Scouting Report
Arttu Hyry holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Hertl on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Hyry wins 54.9% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hyry 55.3% vs Hertl 54.3% (+4.3%)
H2H factor
Hertl leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Hertl 73.0%
Defensive zone
Hyry 64.1%
Neutral zone
Hyry 50.8%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 54.7%
45.3%
54.7%
Hyry
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Hyry
Hertl
Last 10: Hyry 4-6 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
4
Hyry
Hertl
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hyry
3
0
Hyry
Hertl
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hertl
1
2
Hyry
Hertl
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hyry
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
63.2% (125)
53.9% (8,303)
+9.3%
Penalty Kill
40.6% (32)
46.3% (806)
-5.7%
On even strength, Hyry has a +9.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Hyry is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (122).
Hyry shoots right. Hertl is 56.9% vs right-shot opponents (4,142).
Home / Away
Hyry
Hertl
Home
56.7% (90)
55.8% (5,382)
Away
61.2% (67)
52.9% (5,722)
By Period
Hyry
Hertl
P1
59.6%
53.6%
P2
58.2%
54.2%
P3
58.2%
55.3%
Final 5 min
66.7%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hyry
56.0%▼
58.6%
58.6%
Hertl
66.0%▲
61.0%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | 2 | 15:52 | Defensive | Arttu Hyry |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 2 | 07:40 | Defensive | Arttu Hyry |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 2 | 02:19 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 1 | 16:48 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 1 | 10:55 | Neutral | Arttu Hyry |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 1 | 06:40 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 3 | 01:27 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 2 | 14:39 | Defensive | Arttu Hyry |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 2 | 11:04 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |