Scouting Report
Austin Czarnik holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Czarnik wins 39.0% vs left-shot opponents — Hughes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Czarnik 45.9% vs Hughes 38.0% (+4.4%)
Offensive zone
Hughes 66.2%
Defensive zone
Czarnik 54.0%
Neutral zone
Hughes 53.4%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 55.2%
44.8%
55.2%
Czarnik
Hughes
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Czarnik
Hughes
Edge
Even Strength
38.6% (57)
34.5% (342)
+4.1%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
42.9% (7)
-42.9%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
25.0% (4)
+75.0%
On penalty kill, Czarnik has a +75.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hughes shoots left. Czarnik is 39.0% vs left-shot opponents (41).
Czarnik shoots right. Hughes is 35.7% vs right-shot opponents (143).
Home / Away
Czarnik
Hughes
Home
36.2% (47)
32.6% (187)
Away
50.0% (12)
36.7% (166)
By Period
Czarnik
Hughes
P1
50.0%
33.9%
P2
31.8%
34.2%
P3
37.5%
36.5%
OT
0.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
21.4%
29.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Czarnik
46.0%▼
48.0%
39.0%
Hughes
34.0%▼
36.5%
34.6%