Austin Czarnik vs Pavel Buchnevich
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Austin Czarnik holds a +10.7% FO% edge overall. Czarnik wins 45.4% vs left-shot opponents — Buchnevich shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Czarnik 46.0% vs Buchnevich 36.0% (+10.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Buchnevich 52.5%
Defensive zone
Buchnevich 54.4%
Neutral zone
Buchnevich 51.3%
Result
Pavel Buchnevich favored at 52.8%
47.2%
52.8%
Czarnik
Buchnevich
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Czarnik
Buchnevich
Last 5: Czarnik 2-3 Buchnevich
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Buchnevich
0
1
Czarnik
Buchnevich
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Czarnik
Buchnevich
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Czarnik
Buchnevich
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Czarnik
Buchnevich
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (605)
34.5% (931)
+11.3%
Power Play
42.2% (45)
44.2% (52)
-2.0%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (16)
24.3% (37)
+13.2%
On penalty kill, Czarnik has a +13.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Buchnevich shoots left. Czarnik is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (478).
Czarnik shoots right. Buchnevich is 36.8% vs right-shot opponents (348).
Home / Away
Czarnik
Buchnevich
Home
45.1% (335)
35.6% (517)
Away
45.6% (331)
33.6% (503)
By Period
Czarnik
Buchnevich
P1
47.8%
35.2%
P2
47.4%
34.8%
P3
40.6%
33.4%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
43.1%
38.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Czarnik
46.0%▼
48.0%
45.3%
Buchnevich
48.0%▲
41.0%
34.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2023 | 2 | 06:55 | Defensive | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 2 | 02:57 | Offensive | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 2 | 02:43 | Defensive | Austin Czarnik |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 1 | 19:22 | Neutral | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 1 | 10:03 | Neutral | Austin Czarnik |