Scouting Report
Tomas Nosek holds a +8.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Czarnik on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Czarnik wins 45.4% vs left-shot opponents — Nosek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Czarnik 46.0% vs Nosek 53.6% (-8.4%)
H2H factor
Czarnik leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Nosek 70.4%
Defensive zone
Nosek 93.6%
Neutral zone
Nosek 83.5%
Result
Tomas Nosek favored at 79.3%
20.7%
79.3%
Czarnik
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
3
(10 meetings)
7
3
Czarnik
Nosek
Last 10: Czarnik 7-3 Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Czarnik
4
0
Czarnik
Nosek
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nosek
0
1
Czarnik
Nosek
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Czarnik
3
2
Czarnik
Nosek
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Czarnik
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (605)
54.9% (2,710)
-9.1%
Power Play
42.2% (45)
45.8% (48)
-3.6%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (16)
47.2% (428)
-9.7%
On penalty kill, Nosek has a +9.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Czarnik is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (478).
Czarnik shoots right. Nosek is 52.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,227).
Home / Away
Czarnik
Nosek
Home
45.1% (335)
52.8% (1,656)
Away
45.6% (331)
54.7% (1,530)
By Period
Czarnik
Nosek
P1
47.8%
52.2%
P2
47.4%
54.1%
P3
40.6%
54.7%
OT
0.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
43.1%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Czarnik
46.0%▼
48.0%
45.3%
Nosek
56.0%▲
50.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2023 | 3 | 19:36 | Neutral | Austin Czarnik |
| Mar 12, 2023 | 3 | 06:24 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 12, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Austin Czarnik |
| Mar 12, 2023 | 2 | 15:08 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 12, 2023 | 2 | 05:09 | Offensive | Austin Czarnik |
| Mar 12, 2023 | 1 | 14:26 | Neutral | Austin Czarnik |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 2 | 15:12 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 2 | 15:06 | Offensive | Austin Czarnik |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 1 | 04:51 | Offensive | Austin Czarnik |
| Dec 16, 2021 | 3 | 07:53 | Offensive | Austin Czarnik |