Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +21.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Watson 47.5% vs Stastny 55.4% (-21.6%)
Offensive zone
Stastny 64.2%
Defensive zone
Stastny 58.4%
Neutral zone
Stastny 60.7%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 61.1%
38.9%
61.1%
Watson
Stastny
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Watson
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
33.3% (15)
59.2% (370)
-25.9%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (5)
51.7% (58)
-11.7%
On even strength, Stastny has a +25.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Watson is 38.5% vs left-shot opponents (13).
Watson shoots right. Stastny is 58.6% vs right-shot opponents (186).
Home / Away
Watson
Stastny
Home
33.3% (9)
57.7% (215)
Away
36.4% (11)
55.6% (257)
By Period
Watson
Stastny
P1
20.0%
57.7%
P2
55.6%
54.2%
P3
16.7%
57.7%
Final 5 min
33.3%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Watson
38.0%▼
44.5%
35.0%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
56.6%