Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Matthews wins 56.6% vs left-shot opponents — Horvat shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 58.8% vs Horvat 56.1% (+3.0%)
Offensive zone
Horvat 62.5%
Defensive zone
Matthews 53.1%
Neutral zone
Horvat 54.5%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 54.7%
45.3%
54.7%
Matthews
Horvat
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Horvat
Edge
Even Strength
59.8% (848)
55.7% (731)
+4.1%
Power Play
64.9% (37)
63.4% (243)
+1.5%
Penalty Kill
56.3% (87)
48.6% (107)
+7.7%
On penalty kill, Matthews has a +7.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Horvat shoots left. Matthews is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (636).
Matthews shoots left. Horvat is 55.8% vs left-shot opponents (633).
Home / Away
Matthews
Horvat
Home
60.0% (520)
59.4% (537)
Away
59.3% (452)
54.0% (544)
By Period
Matthews
Horvat
P1
60.2%
59.9%
P2
58.2%
54.5%
P3
60.4%
56.1%
OT
70.0%
55.0%
Final 5 min
57.6%
59.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
59.7%
Horvat
68.0%▲
57.5%
56.7%