Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall. Matthews wins 56.6% vs left-shot opponents — Jenner shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 58.8% vs Jenner 51.1% (+8.2%)
Offensive zone
Jenner 54.5%
Defensive zone
Jenner 50.9%
Neutral zone
Jenner 53.8%
Result
Boone Jenner favored at 53.1%
46.9%
53.1%
Matthews
Jenner
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Jenner
Edge
Even Strength
59.8% (848)
51.3% (265)
+8.5%
Power Play
64.9% (37)
54.2% (24)
+10.7%
Penalty Kill
56.3% (87)
50.0% (20)
+6.3%
On power play, Matthews has a +10.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jenner shoots left. Matthews is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (636).
Matthews shoots left. Jenner is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (215).
Home / Away
Matthews
Jenner
Home
60.0% (520)
52.7% (165)
Away
59.3% (452)
50.0% (144)
By Period
Matthews
Jenner
P1
60.2%
49.0%
P2
58.2%
45.0%
P3
60.4%
59.5%
Final 5 min
57.6%
55.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
59.7%
Jenner
52.0%▲
48.5%
51.5%