Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +11.4% FO% edge overall. Matthews wins 57.4% vs right-shot opponents — Rowney shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 55.8% vs Rowney 46.8% (+11.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Matthews 88.7%
Defensive zone
Matthews 58.4%
Neutral zone
Matthews 81.4%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 67.3%
67.3%
32.7%
Matthews
Rowney
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Matthews
Rowney
Last 6: Matthews 4-2 Rowney
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
1
0
Matthews
Rowney
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Matthews
Rowney
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Matthews
1
0
Matthews
Rowney
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Rowney
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (1,167)
46.2% (158)
+10.1%
Power Play
57.5% (40)
0.0% (1)
+57.5%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (22)
16.7% (6)
+33.3%
On power play, Matthews has a +57.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rowney shoots right. Matthews is 57.4% vs right-shot opponents (474).
Matthews shoots left. Rowney is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (124).
Home / Away
Matthews
Rowney
Home
60.7% (572)
46.5% (114)
Away
52.4% (657)
41.2% (51)
By Period
Matthews
Rowney
P1
60.3%
50.0%
P2
55.6%
45.1%
P3
53.3%
39.6%
OT
45.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
54.5%
52.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
64.0%▲
60.5%
56.2%
Rowney
52.0%▲
45.0%
44.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2022 | 3 | 09:59 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 26, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 26, 2022 | 1 | 17:10 | Defensive | Carter Rowney |
| Feb 26, 2022 | 1 | 17:01 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 26, 2022 | 1 | 16:55 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 26, 2022 | 1 | 09:33 | Defensive | Carter Rowney |