Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Matthews on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Matthews wins 47.0% vs left-shot opponents — Cizikas shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 47.1% vs Cizikas 49.7% (-2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Matthews 76.4%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 89.1%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 60.6%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 55.6%
44.4%
55.6%
Matthews
Cizikas
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Matthews
Cizikas
Last 9: Matthews 7-2 Cizikas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
2
0
Matthews
Cizikas
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
0
1
Matthews
Cizikas
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Matthews
5
1
Matthews
Cizikas
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Cizikas
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (1,000)
50.7% (676)
-4.5%
Power Play
53.6% (125)
69.2% (13)
-15.6%
Penalty Kill
14.3% (7)
43.3% (157)
-29.0%
On penalty kill, Cizikas has a +29.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cizikas shoots left. Matthews is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (683).
Matthews shoots left. Cizikas is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (519).
Home / Away
Matthews
Cizikas
Home
48.4% (562)
49.8% (486)
Away
45.3% (570)
49.4% (360)
By Period
Matthews
Cizikas
P1
51.3%
50.6%
P2
44.5%
46.0%
P3
44.6%
52.4%
OT
55.6%
45.5%
Final 5 min
47.9%
46.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
64.0%▲
60.5%
46.8%
Cizikas
70.0%▲
58.0%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2017 | 3 | 05:29 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 14, 2017 | 3 | 04:16 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 14, 2017 | 2 | 14:11 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 14, 2017 | 1 | 01:01 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 6, 2017 | 3 | 19:40 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 6, 2017 | 3 | 15:23 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Feb 6, 2017 | 2 | 19:45 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Feb 6, 2017 | 2 | 00:33 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 30, 2016 | 3 | 07:47 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |