Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Matthews wins 57.7% vs left-shot opponents — Cizikas shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 56.3% vs Cizikas 54.4% (+1.6%)
Offensive zone
Cizikas 50.1%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 54.6%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 54.9%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 53.2%
46.8%
53.2%
Matthews
Cizikas
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Cizikas
Edge
Even Strength
58.3% (943)
56.4% (576)
+1.9%
Power Play
55.7% (61)
50.0% (2)
+5.7%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (219)
33.3% (33)
+17.4%
On penalty kill, Matthews has a +17.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cizikas shoots left. Matthews is 57.7% vs left-shot opponents (803).
Matthews shoots left. Cizikas is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (408).
Home / Away
Matthews
Cizikas
Home
59.1% (528)
55.4% (303)
Away
55.1% (695)
54.9% (308)
By Period
Matthews
Cizikas
P1
56.2%
53.0%
P2
58.1%
56.0%
P3
56.4%
56.2%
Final 5 min
55.5%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
64.0%▲
60.5%
56.8%
Cizikas
70.0%▲
58.0%
55.2%