Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Giroux on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Matthews wins 65.3% vs right-shot opponents — Giroux shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 57.9% vs Giroux 62.2% (-5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Result
Claude Giroux favored at 54.3%
45.7%
54.3%
Matthews
Giroux
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Matthews
Giroux
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
1
2
Matthews
Giroux
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
0
1
Matthews
Giroux
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Giroux
Edge
Even Strength
58.6% (715)
63.2% (302)
-4.6%
Power Play
65.7% (35)
68.8% (93)
-3.1%
Penalty Kill
57.7% (71)
64.5% (121)
-6.8%
On penalty kill, Giroux has a +6.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Giroux shoots right. Matthews is 65.3% vs right-shot opponents (285).
Matthews shoots left. Giroux is 65.7% vs left-shot opponents (397).
Home / Away
Matthews
Giroux
Home
60.0% (475)
67.5% (277)
Away
57.2% (346)
61.1% (239)
By Period
Matthews
Giroux
P1
58.3%
65.1%
P2
58.4%
64.7%
P3
59.4%
63.6%
OT
70.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
56.7%
61.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
64.0%▲
60.5%
58.8%
Giroux
68.0%▲
61.0%
64.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 18:30 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 18:24 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 12:46 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 2 | 11:54 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |