Auston Matthews vs Elias Lindholm
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Matthews wins 65.3% vs right-shot opponents — Lindholm shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 57.9% vs Lindholm 53.8% (+4.5%)
Offensive zone
Lindholm 59.4%
Defensive zone
Lindholm 53.5%
Neutral zone
Matthews 51.3%
Result
Elias Lindholm favored at 53.8%
46.2%
53.8%
Matthews
Lindholm
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Lindholm
Edge
Even Strength
58.6% (715)
53.5% (555)
+5.1%
Power Play
65.7% (35)
61.1% (113)
+4.6%
Penalty Kill
57.7% (71)
49.2% (61)
+8.5%
On penalty kill, Matthews has a +8.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lindholm shoots right. Matthews is 65.3% vs right-shot opponents (285).
Matthews shoots left. Lindholm is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (521).
Home / Away
Matthews
Lindholm
Home
60.0% (475)
55.5% (431)
Away
57.2% (346)
52.7% (298)
By Period
Matthews
Lindholm
P1
58.3%
52.3%
P2
58.4%
54.8%
P3
59.4%
56.3%
OT
70.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
56.7%
58.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
64.0%▲
60.5%
58.8%
Lindholm
52.0%▬
52.5%
54.3%