Auston Matthews vs Elias Lindholm
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Matthews wins 65.5% vs right-shot opponents — Lindholm shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 58.8% vs Lindholm 55.3% (+3.8%)
Offensive zone
Lindholm 62.3%
Defensive zone
Lindholm 51.1%
Neutral zone
Lindholm 50.2%
Result
Elias Lindholm favored at 54.5%
45.5%
54.5%
Matthews
Lindholm
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Lindholm
Edge
Even Strength
59.8% (848)
54.8% (766)
+5.0%
Power Play
64.9% (37)
62.3% (175)
+2.6%
Penalty Kill
56.3% (87)
52.2% (92)
+4.1%
On even strength, Matthews has a +5.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lindholm shoots right. Matthews is 65.5% vs right-shot opponents (336).
Matthews shoots left. Lindholm is 58.3% vs left-shot opponents (753).
Home / Away
Matthews
Lindholm
Home
60.0% (520)
56.6% (578)
Away
59.3% (452)
54.9% (455)
By Period
Matthews
Lindholm
P1
60.2%
55.2%
P2
58.2%
56.3%
P3
60.4%
56.3%
OT
70.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
57.6%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
59.7%
Lindholm
64.0%▲
60.5%
55.9%