Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +10.0% FO% edge overall. Matthews wins 56.6% vs left-shot opponents — Haula shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 58.8% vs Haula 49.7% (+10.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Haula 62.9%
Defensive zone
Haula 63.3%
Neutral zone
Haula 63.5%
Result
Erik Haula favored at 62.9%
37.1%
62.9%
Matthews
Haula
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Matthews
Haula
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Haula
0
1
Matthews
Haula
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Haula
Edge
Even Strength
59.8% (848)
49.9% (747)
+9.9%
Power Play
64.9% (37)
53.8% (78)
+11.1%
Penalty Kill
56.3% (87)
42.4% (66)
+13.9%
On penalty kill, Matthews has a +13.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Haula shoots left. Matthews is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (636).
Matthews shoots left. Haula is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (573).
Home / Away
Matthews
Haula
Home
60.0% (520)
48.5% (468)
Away
59.3% (452)
51.1% (423)
By Period
Matthews
Haula
P1
60.2%
52.5%
P2
58.2%
51.1%
P3
60.4%
45.9%
OT
70.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
57.6%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
59.7%
Haula
40.0%▼
46.5%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2025 | 1 | 16:32 | Offensive | Erik Haula |