Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +11.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Matthews on neutral-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Matthews wins 65.5% vs right-shot opponents — Eichel shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 58.8% vs Eichel 48.2% (+11.7%)
H2H factor
Matthews leads 16-7 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Matthews 88.1%
Defensive zone
Matthews 96.0%
Neutral zone
Matthews 95.3%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 93.4%
93.4%
6.6%
Matthews
Eichel
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
7
(23 meetings)
16
7
Matthews
Eichel
Last 10: Matthews 7-3 Eichel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
4
3
Matthews
Eichel
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
6
3
Matthews
Eichel
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Matthews
6
1
Matthews
Eichel
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Eichel
Edge
Even Strength
59.8% (848)
48.2% (909)
+11.6%
Power Play
64.9% (37)
55.2% (67)
+9.7%
Penalty Kill
56.3% (87)
41.2% (97)
+15.1%
On penalty kill, Matthews has a +15.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eichel shoots right. Matthews is 65.5% vs right-shot opponents (336).
Matthews shoots left. Eichel is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (761).
Home / Away
Matthews
Eichel
Home
60.0% (520)
48.0% (564)
Away
59.3% (452)
47.9% (509)
By Period
Matthews
Eichel
P1
60.2%
49.8%
P2
58.2%
48.6%
P3
60.4%
46.7%
OT
70.0%
37.5%
Final 5 min
57.6%
54.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
59.7%
Eichel
50.0%▬
50.0%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2026 | 3 | 08:42 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Jan 23, 2026 | 3 | 08:38 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 23, 2026 | 3 | 06:51 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Jan 23, 2026 | 3 | 03:51 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 23, 2026 | 3 | 00:33 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 23, 2026 | 2 | 10:04 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 23, 2026 | 2 | 03:32 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 23, 2026 | 1 | 14:14 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Jan 23, 2026 | 1 | 13:55 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 23, 2026 | 1 | 03:39 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 23, 2026 | 1 | 00:58 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 19:15 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 14:50 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 14:41 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 14:31 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 09:49 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 2 | 14:24 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 2 | 14:14 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 2 | 00:08 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 1 | 09:37 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |