Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Matthews wins 65.5% vs right-shot opponents — Roslovic shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 58.8% vs Roslovic 52.1% (+6.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roslovic 76.3%
Defensive zone
Matthews 53.0%
Neutral zone
Roslovic 60.0%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 53.0%
53.0%
47.0%
Matthews
Roslovic
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Matthews
Roslovic
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roslovic
0
1
Matthews
Roslovic
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Roslovic
Edge
Even Strength
59.8% (848)
52.5% (219)
+7.3%
Power Play
64.9% (37)
57.9% (19)
+7.0%
On even strength, Matthews has a +7.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roslovic shoots right. Matthews is 65.5% vs right-shot opponents (336).
Matthews shoots left. Roslovic is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (181).
Home / Away
Matthews
Roslovic
Home
60.0% (520)
49.6% (121)
Away
59.3% (452)
56.4% (117)
By Period
Matthews
Roslovic
P1
60.2%
52.2%
P2
58.2%
56.6%
P3
60.4%
50.6%
OT
70.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
57.6%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
59.7%
Roslovic
58.0%▲
52.5%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 3, 2026 | 3 | 04:01 | Defensive | Jack Roslovic |