Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +20.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Matthews on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Matthews wins 56.6% vs left-shot opponents — Zucker shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 58.8% vs Zucker 44.0% (+20.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Matthews 76.0%
Defensive zone
Matthews 98.7%
Neutral zone
Matthews 89.5%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 97.4%
97.4%
2.6%
Matthews
Zucker
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
0
(7 meetings)
7
0
Matthews
Zucker
Last 7: Matthews 7-0 Zucker
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
6
0
Matthews
Zucker
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Matthews
1
0
Matthews
Zucker
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Zucker
Edge
Even Strength
59.8% (848)
54.5% (33)
+5.3%
Power Play
64.9% (37)
32.5% (83)
+32.4%
On power play, Matthews has a +32.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zucker shoots left. Matthews is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (636).
Matthews shoots left. Zucker is 36.3% vs left-shot opponents (80).
Home / Away
Matthews
Zucker
Home
60.0% (520)
47.0% (66)
Away
59.3% (452)
28.0% (50)
By Period
Matthews
Zucker
P1
60.2%
50.0%
P2
58.2%
31.6%
P3
60.4%
28.6%
Final 5 min
57.6%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
59.7%
Zucker
48.0%▲
38.0%
38.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2026 | 2 | 10:49 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 27, 2026 | 2 | 04:22 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 06:25 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 2 | 17:12 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 10:09 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 07:05 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 24, 2025 | 1 | 13:26 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |