Auston Matthews vs Jonny Brodzinski
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Matthews wins 65.5% vs right-shot opponents — Brodzinski shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 58.8% vs Brodzinski 51.7% (+5.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Matthews 61.5%
Defensive zone
Matthews 87.4%
Neutral zone
Matthews 87.0%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 87.2%
87.2%
12.8%
Matthews
Brodzinski
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Matthews
Brodzinski
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
1
0
Matthews
Brodzinski
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Matthews
1
0
Matthews
Brodzinski
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Brodzinski
Edge
Even Strength
59.8% (848)
53.6% (69)
+6.2%
Power Play
64.9% (37)
60.0% (5)
+4.9%
On even strength, Matthews has a +6.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brodzinski shoots right. Matthews is 65.5% vs right-shot opponents (336).
Matthews shoots left. Brodzinski is 57.1% vs left-shot opponents (63).
Home / Away
Matthews
Brodzinski
Home
60.0% (520)
46.3% (41)
Away
59.3% (452)
63.6% (33)
By Period
Matthews
Brodzinski
P1
60.2%
54.2%
P2
58.2%
51.6%
P3
60.4%
57.9%
Final 5 min
57.6%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
59.7%
Brodzinski
52.0%▲
49.5%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2026 | 3 | 05:38 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 3 | 00:43 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |