Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +9.6% FO% edge overall. Matthews wins 55.4% vs left-shot opponents — Norris shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 57.9% vs Norris 49.4% (+9.6%)
Offensive zone
Norris 51.0%
Defensive zone
Norris 50.3%
Neutral zone
Norris 51.7%
Result
Josh Norris favored at 51.0%
49.0%
51.0%
Matthews
Norris
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Norris
Edge
Even Strength
58.6% (715)
50.2% (203)
+8.4%
Power Play
65.7% (35)
44.4% (36)
+21.3%
Penalty Kill
57.7% (71)
42.9% (7)
+14.8%
On power play, Matthews has a +21.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Norris shoots left. Matthews is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (536).
Matthews shoots left. Norris is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (166).
Home / Away
Matthews
Norris
Home
60.0% (475)
44.3% (115)
Away
57.2% (346)
53.4% (131)
By Period
Matthews
Norris
P1
58.3%
52.1%
P2
58.4%
50.0%
P3
59.4%
45.6%
Final 5 min
56.7%
39.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
64.0%▲
60.5%
58.8%
Norris
48.0%▬
48.5%
49.2%