Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +9.8% FO% edge overall. Matthews wins 56.6% vs left-shot opponents — Norris shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 58.8% vs Norris 49.9% (+9.8%)
Offensive zone
Norris 55.8%
Defensive zone
Norris 50.9%
Neutral zone
Norris 52.8%
Result
Josh Norris favored at 53.2%
46.8%
53.2%
Matthews
Norris
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Norris
Edge
Even Strength
59.8% (848)
50.5% (388)
+9.3%
Power Play
64.9% (37)
47.6% (84)
+17.3%
Penalty Kill
56.3% (87)
42.9% (7)
+13.4%
On power play, Matthews has a +17.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Norris shoots left. Matthews is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (636).
Matthews shoots left. Norris is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (321).
Home / Away
Matthews
Norris
Home
60.0% (520)
48.1% (233)
Away
59.3% (452)
51.6% (246)
By Period
Matthews
Norris
P1
60.2%
53.1%
P2
58.2%
49.2%
P3
60.4%
48.4%
OT
70.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
57.6%
46.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
59.7%
Norris
54.0%▲
51.0%
49.9%