Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Matthews wins 56.6% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 58.8% vs Eller 55.0% (+3.8%)
Offensive zone
Matthews 55.8%
Defensive zone
Eller 62.5%
Neutral zone
Eller 54.5%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 53.7%
46.3%
53.7%
Matthews
Eller
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
59.8% (848)
56.0% (459)
+3.8%
Power Play
64.9% (37)
77.8% (9)
-12.9%
Penalty Kill
56.3% (87)
51.9% (54)
+4.4%
On power play, Eller has a +12.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Matthews is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (636).
Matthews shoots left. Eller is 56.4% vs left-shot opponents (321).
Home / Away
Matthews
Eller
Home
60.0% (520)
52.6% (215)
Away
59.3% (452)
58.3% (307)
By Period
Matthews
Eller
P1
60.2%
54.1%
P2
58.2%
57.6%
P3
60.4%
56.2%
Final 5 min
57.6%
60.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
59.7%
Eller
44.0%▼
51.5%
55.9%