Auston Matthews vs Mark Scheifele
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +12.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Matthews on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Matthews wins 65.5% vs right-shot opponents — Scheifele shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 58.8% vs Scheifele 47.2% (+12.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Matthews 69.6%
Defensive zone
Matthews 96.8%
Neutral zone
Matthews 91.5%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 85.9%
85.9%
14.1%
Matthews
Scheifele
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Matthews
Scheifele
Last 9: Matthews 7-2 Scheifele
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
2
1
Matthews
Scheifele
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
3
0
Matthews
Scheifele
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Matthews
2
1
Matthews
Scheifele
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Scheifele
Edge
Even Strength
59.8% (848)
46.5% (919)
+13.3%
Power Play
64.9% (37)
48.7% (187)
+16.2%
Penalty Kill
56.3% (87)
50.0% (54)
+6.3%
On power play, Matthews has a +16.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Scheifele shoots right. Matthews is 65.5% vs right-shot opponents (336).
Matthews shoots left. Scheifele is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (901).
Home / Away
Matthews
Scheifele
Home
60.0% (520)
46.6% (605)
Away
59.3% (452)
47.4% (555)
By Period
Matthews
Scheifele
P1
60.2%
52.3%
P2
58.2%
45.3%
P3
60.4%
43.9%
OT
70.0%
27.3%
Final 5 min
57.6%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
59.7%
Scheifele
44.0%▼
54.0%
47.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 11:13 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 07:51 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 08:35 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 1 | 05:07 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 3 | 16:02 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 3 | 06:30 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 3 | 00:44 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 2 | 01:12 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 1 | 16:45 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |