Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +8.9% FO% edge overall. Matthews wins 56.6% vs left-shot opponents — Domi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 58.8% vs Domi 50.6% (+8.9%)
Offensive zone
Domi 54.0%
Defensive zone
Domi 54.4%
Neutral zone
Domi 54.6%
Result
Max Domi favored at 54.3%
45.7%
54.3%
Matthews
Domi
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Domi
Edge
Even Strength
59.8% (848)
49.8% (297)
+10.0%
Power Play
64.9% (37)
60.0% (30)
+4.9%
On even strength, Matthews has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Domi shoots left. Matthews is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (636).
Matthews shoots left. Domi is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (218).
Home / Away
Matthews
Domi
Home
60.0% (520)
51.1% (184)
Away
59.3% (452)
50.3% (143)
By Period
Matthews
Domi
P1
60.2%
45.9%
P2
58.2%
51.8%
P3
60.4%
55.1%
OT
70.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
57.6%
39.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
59.7%
Domi
46.0%▼
51.0%
50.8%