Auston Matthews vs Mikael Granlund
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +10.2% FO% edge overall. Matthews wins 56.6% vs left-shot opponents — Granlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 58.8% vs Granlund 49.5% (+10.2%)
Offensive zone
Granlund 55.2%
Defensive zone
Granlund 53.3%
Neutral zone
Granlund 55.7%
Result
Mikael Granlund favored at 54.7%
45.3%
54.7%
Matthews
Granlund
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Granlund
Edge
Even Strength
59.8% (848)
49.7% (493)
+10.1%
Power Play
64.9% (37)
58.6% (111)
+6.3%
Penalty Kill
56.3% (87)
31.1% (61)
+25.2%
On penalty kill, Matthews has a +25.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Granlund shoots left. Matthews is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (636).
Matthews shoots left. Granlund is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (445).
Home / Away
Matthews
Granlund
Home
60.0% (520)
54.7% (276)
Away
59.3% (452)
45.8% (389)
By Period
Matthews
Granlund
P1
60.2%
52.2%
P2
58.2%
49.3%
P3
60.4%
47.4%
OT
70.0%
45.5%
Final 5 min
57.6%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
59.7%
Granlund
62.0%▲
54.5%
49.5%