Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Matthews wins 55.2% vs right-shot opponents — Acciari shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 56.3% vs Acciari 53.2% (+3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Matthews 81.4%
Defensive zone
Acciari 80.0%
Neutral zone
Acciari 58.8%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 50.7%
50.7%
49.3%
Matthews
Acciari
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Matthews
Acciari
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
2
0
Matthews
Acciari
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
0
2
Matthews
Acciari
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Acciari
Edge
Even Strength
58.3% (943)
56.7% (393)
+1.6%
Power Play
55.7% (61)
33.3% (3)
+22.4%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (219)
48.0% (202)
+2.7%
On power play, Matthews has a +22.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Acciari shoots right. Matthews is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (420).
Matthews shoots left. Acciari is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (468).
Home / Away
Matthews
Acciari
Home
59.1% (528)
54.5% (279)
Away
55.1% (695)
53.0% (319)
By Period
Matthews
Acciari
P1
56.2%
56.9%
P2
58.1%
51.4%
P3
56.4%
53.2%
OT
50.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
55.5%
60.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
64.0%▲
60.5%
56.8%
Acciari
54.0%▲
51.5%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2024 | 3 | 09:29 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 3 | 14:26 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 2 | 17:23 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 1 | 18:49 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |